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US Session's Technical Barometer
BearBull
EUR/USDBEARISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 — H1 ▼ M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 57 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.6 ATRSupport — · Resistance 1.13591 (0.2 ATR) · was supportthe floor is far below — price is stretched
BearBull
GBP/USDBEARISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▼ H1 ▼ M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 74 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.8 ATRSupport 1.32632 (2.3 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 1.33356 (3.3 ATR) · was supportsimilar room above (3.3 ATR) and below (2.3 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
BearBull
USD/JPYNEUTRAL
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 ▼ H1 — M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 47 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.8 ATRSupport 156.89227 (0.5 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 157.54120 (1.8 ATR) · was supportsimilar room above (1.8 ATR) and below (0.5 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
BearBull
GoldBEARISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 — H1 — M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 60 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 1.3 ATRSupport — · Resistance 4,280.39 (7.6 ATR) · was supportno tested ceiling above, and the floor is far below — price is stretched
BearBull
OilBEARISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 ▼ H1 — M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 54 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.6 ATRSupport 88.99 (1.3 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 89.86 (0.1 ATR) · was supportsimilar room above (0.1 ATR) and below (1.3 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
BearBull
BitcoinNEUTRAL
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 ▲ H1 ▼ M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 57 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.6 ATRSupport 83,686.1 (0.3 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 84,213.3 (1.1 ATR) · was supportsimilar room above (1.1 ATR) and below (0.3 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
BearBull
EthereumBULLISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▲ H4 ▲ H1 — M15 ▲ M5 ▲RSI 57 · EMA20 < EMA50 · last 30m: 0.9 ATRSupport 2,678.5 (1.3 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 2,698.6 (0.2 ATR) · was supportsimilar room above (0.2 ATR) and below (1.3 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
SESSION PREP · US

What to watch in the US session

The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC.

Good morning. The overnight backdrop is a familiar one: junk bonds are heading for their worst month since 2022 after a punishing global selloff, and global benchmarks are mostly higher despite the Iran war rumbling on in the background — a resilient shrug rather than a rally.

Today's US diary is the real act. Core PCE and Final GDP both land at 12:30 UTC, with ADP Non-Farm Employment Change alongside them — a triple dose of US data in one print. Goods Trade Balance, Personal Income and Spending, and Prelim Wholesale Inventories follow, then Chicago PMI, Crude Oil Inventories, and FOMC members Barkin and Cook, with President Trump speaking later. Note Canada's Bank Holiday, so CAD liquidity will be thin.

Yesterday's dollar bid is still the thread: EUR/USD has flipped to BEARISH CLEAR at 1.13576, though it now sits just 0.2 ATR under resistance at 1.13591 with the floor far below — stretched, so mind a snapback. GBP/USD has gone NEUTRAL at 1.32926 after flipping label 18 times in 24 hours — noise, not a turn. USD/JPY is NEUTRAL at 157.024, coiled inside a squeeze between 156.89 and 157.22. Gold has flipped back to BEARISH LEANING at 4190.59 and still carries a divergence warning. Oil is NEUTRAL at 89.78, pressed against 89.86. Crypto: Ethereum BULLISH CLEAR at 2696.1, Bitcoin NEUTRAL at 83811.2, XRP the quiet outperformer at 1.5132.

Watch the dollar's reaction to the PCE and GDP prints above all — it's the thread running through the majors.

In this session window (12:00–21:00 UTC)

Bank Holiday

30 Sep 12:00 UTCCAD Holiday

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

30 Sep 12:15 UTCUSD Medium

Core PCE Price Index m/m

30 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD High

Final GDP q/q

30 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD High

Final GDP Price Index q/q

30 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Medium

Goods Trade Balance

30 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low

Personal Income m/m

30 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low

Personal Spending m/m

30 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low

Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m

30 Sep 12:30 UTCUSD Low

SNB Quarterly Bulletin

30 Sep 13:00 UTCCHF Low

Chicago PMI

30 Sep 13:45 UTCUSD Low

Gov Board Member Tschudin Speaks

30 Sep 14:30 UTCCHF Low

Crude Oil Inventories

30 Sep 14:30 UTCUSD Low

FOMC Member Barkin Speaks

30 Sep 17:30 UTCUSD Low

FOMC Member Cook Speaks

30 Sep 19:25 UTCUSD Low

View the full economic calendar → · Briefing archive →