The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-10-02 12:00 UTC.
Good morning. The overnight story is the same one London woke up to: bond markets selling off and rattling equities worldwide, AI optimism keeping Wall Street upright, and the dollar still bid — EUR/USD at 1.12386, GBP/USD 1.32104, USD/JPY 157.713, all sitting roughly where London left them.
That quiet won't survive the open. The US employment report lands in this window — Non-Farm Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings and the Unemployment Rate, all High-tier — plus Factory Orders (Low) and a Logan appearance (Low). One data cluster, one dollar: expect FX, gold and rates to do the reacting.
On the gauge: EUR/USD is the stretched one — bearish clear across D1/H4, H4 RSI 25.9 (oversold), no tested floor below, so a snapback wouldn't shock. GBP/USD has gone flat-neutral, pinned in a tight squeeze between 1.32050 and 1.32147. USD/JPY leans bullish on D1/H4 but the short-term tilt just flipped to neutral — three label changes in 24 hours, so don't read one as a turn. Bitcoin leans bullish under 86569.0, though RSI 71 says it's stretched. If today continues or reverses that story, we'll say so.
02 Oct 12:30 UTCUSD High
02 Oct 12:30 UTCUSD High
02 Oct 12:30 UTCUSD High
02 Oct 14:00 UTCUSD Low
02 Oct 14:00 UTCUSD Low
02 Oct 19:35 UTCEUR Low