What this reads: the bigger picture for this session — daily, 4-hour and 1-hour trends with 4-hour and 1-hour momentum, read when this briefing was written. It changes slowly and is not a forecast. Market Pulse reads only the last hour or so, so the two can disagree: a short bounce inside a downtrend can read bullish there and bearish here.
EUR/USDBEARISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▼ H1 —H4 RSI 48 · H1 RSI 49 · 30-min move significant (1.15 ATR)Support 1.11861 (1.1 ATR) · Resistance 1.12034 (1.5 ATR)about the same room to the levels above (1.5 ATR) and below (1.1 ATR)
BEARISH CLEAR — D1 down, H4 down, H1 mixed (longer-term read: D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop). H4 RSI 48.1; H1 RSI 48.8. Major support 1.11861 (1.1 ATR) · resistance 1.12034 (1.5 ATR). about the same room to the levels above (1.5 ATR) and below (1.1 ATR) Near-term: 30-min move significant (1.15 ATR), structure mixed.
D1 trend (long) — D1 structure says down; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H4 trend (long) — H4 structure says down; EMA aligned with it
H1 trend (long) — H1 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
Momentum (H4/H1) — H4 RSI 48.1; H1 RSI 48.8
Divergence (long) — no divergence against the long-term trend
Major levels (H4/D1) — nearest tested: support 1.11861 (1.1 ATR) · resistance 1.12034 (1.5 ATR)
GBP/USDBULLISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 — H1 ▲H4 RSI 61 · H1 RSI 58 · 30-min move significant (1.07 ATR)Support 1.32626 (0.2 ATR) · Resistance 1.32737 (1.2 ATR)the nearest level above is 1.2 ATR away and below 0.2 ATR — price is closer to the one below
BULLISH LEANING — D1 mixed, H4 mixed, H1 up (longer-term read: D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop). H4 RSI 60.8; H1 RSI 58.4. Major support 1.32626 (0.2 ATR) · resistance 1.32737 (1.2 ATR). the nearest level above is 1.2 ATR away and below 0.2 ATR — price is closer to the one below Near-term: 30-min move significant (1.07 ATR), structure intact.
D1 trend (long) — D1 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H4 trend (long) — H4 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H1 trend (long) — H1 structure says up; EMA aligned with it
Momentum (H4/H1) — H4 RSI 60.8; H1 RSI 58.4
Divergence (long) — no divergence against the long-term trend
Major levels (H4/D1) — nearest tested: support 1.32626 (0.2 ATR) · resistance 1.32737 (1.2 ATR)
USD/JPYBULLISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▲ H4 — H1 —H4 RSI 55 · H1 RSI 56 · 30-min move normal (0.43 ATR)Support 158.43739 (0.0 ATR) · Resistance 158.74400 (2.5 ATR)price is sitting right at the nearest level below, with 2.5 ATR to the nearest level above
BULLISH LEANING — D1 up, H4 mixed, H1 mixed (longer-term read: D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop). H4 RSI 55.3; H1 RSI 55.9. Major support 158.43739 (0.0 ATR) · resistance 158.74400 (2.5 ATR). price is sitting right at the nearest level below, with 2.5 ATR to the nearest level above Near-term: 30-min move normal (0.43 ATR), structure mixed.
D1 trend (long) — D1 structure says up; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H4 trend (long) — H4 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H1 trend (long) — H1 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
Momentum (H4/H1) — H4 RSI 55.3; H1 RSI 55.9
Divergence (long) — no divergence against the long-term trend
Major levels (H4/D1) — nearest tested: support 158.43739 (0.0 ATR) · resistance 158.74400 (2.5 ATR)
GoldBEARISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 ▼ H1 —H4 RSI 41 · H1 RSI 34 · 30-min move normal (0.38 ATR)Support 4,124.31 (1.3 ATR) · Resistance 4,139.64 (0.1 ATR)price is sitting right at the nearest level above, with 1.3 ATR to the nearest level below
BEARISH LEANING — D1 mixed, H4 down, H1 mixed (longer-term read: D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop). H4 RSI 40.7; H1 RSI 34.0. Major support 4124.31 (1.3 ATR) · resistance 4139.64 (0.1 ATR). price is sitting right at the nearest level above, with 1.3 ATR to the nearest level below Near-term: 30-min move normal (0.38 ATR), structure mixed.
D1 trend (long) — D1 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H4 trend (long) — H4 structure says down; EMA aligned with it
H1 trend (long) — H1 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
Momentum (H4/H1) — H4 RSI 40.7; H1 RSI 34.0
Divergence (long) — price and RSI diverged against the long-term trend — a caution
Major levels (H4/D1) — nearest tested: support 4124.31 (1.3 ATR) · resistance 4139.64 (0.1 ATR)
OilBULLISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 — H4 ▲ H1 —H4 RSI 65 · H1 RSI 70 · 30-min move normal (0.46 ATR)Support 94.19 (3.7 ATR) · Resistance 96.45 (0.8 ATR)price is 0.8 ATR under the nearest level above and 3.7 ATR over the nearest level below — near the top of its recent range
BULLISH LEANING — D1 mixed, H4 up, H1 mixed (longer-term read: D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop). H4 RSI 64.8; H1 RSI 70.5. Major support 94.19 (3.7 ATR) · resistance 96.45 (0.8 ATR). price is 0.8 ATR under the nearest level above and 3.7 ATR over the nearest level below — near the top of its recent range Near-term: 30-min move normal (0.46 ATR), structure intact.
D1 trend (long) — D1 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H4 trend (long) — H4 structure says up; EMA aligned with it
H1 trend (long) — H1 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
Momentum (H4/H1) — H4 RSI 64.8; H1 RSI 70.5
Divergence (long) — price and RSI diverged against the long-term trend — a caution
Major levels (H4/D1) — nearest tested: support 94.19 (3.7 ATR) · resistance 96.45 (0.8 ATR)
BitcoinBEARISH · LEANING
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 — H1 ▲H4 RSI 51 · H1 RSI 51 · 30-min move normal (0.44 ATR)Support 83,103.4 (0.7 ATR) · Resistance 83,615.9 (0.7 ATR)price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way
BEARISH LEANING — D1 down, H4 mixed, H1 up (longer-term read: D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop). H4 RSI 51.4; H1 RSI 51.1. Major support 83103.4 (0.7 ATR) · resistance 83615.9 (0.7 ATR). price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way Near-term: 30-min move normal (0.44 ATR), structure intact.
D1 trend (long) — D1 structure says down; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H4 trend (long) — H4 structure says mixed; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H1 trend (long) — H1 structure says up; EMA aligned with it
Momentum (H4/H1) — H4 RSI 51.4; H1 RSI 51.1
Divergence (long) — no divergence against the long-term trend
Major levels (H4/D1) — nearest tested: support 83103.4 (0.7 ATR) · resistance 83615.9 (0.7 ATR)
EthereumBEARISH · CLEAR
D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop
D1 ▼ H4 ▼ H1 ▲H4 RSI 46 · H1 RSI 47 · 30-min move normal (0.38 ATR)Support 2,487.2 (0.7 ATR) · Resistance 2,510.4 (0.9 ATR)price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way
BEARISH CLEAR — D1 down, H4 down, H1 up (longer-term read: D1/H4/H1 · session backdrop). H4 RSI 45.9; H1 RSI 46.8. Major support 2487.2 (0.7 ATR) · resistance 2510.4 (0.9 ATR). price sits between two close levels (both within 1 ATR) — a move out of this zone could go either way Near-term: 30-min move normal (0.38 ATR), structure intact.
D1 trend (long) — D1 structure says down; EMA neutral or disagreeing
H4 trend (long) — H4 structure says down; EMA aligned with it
H1 trend (long) — H1 structure says up; EMA neutral or disagreeing
Momentum (H4/H1) — H4 RSI 45.9; H1 RSI 46.8
Divergence (long) — no divergence against the long-term trend
Major levels (H4/D1) — nearest tested: support 2487.2 (0.7 ATR) · resistance 2510.4 (0.9 ATR)
SESSION PREP · US
What to watch in the US session
The US session (New York open · the afternoon drive) · updated 2026-10-14 12:02 UTC.
Good morning, US. The chip story is still the one to beat — TSMC's results are what analysts are watching, the Kospi's 7% slide is still echoing through Asian equities, and Singapore's central bank surprised with a policy pause while the crypto rulebook keeps getting rewritten from Bangkok to Seoul.
Today's calendar, though, has other ideas. US CPI lands in this window — core and headline, monthly and yearly, all high tier — alongside Canada's building permits, the Beige Book, and appearances from FOMC's Barkin and Goolsbee. The API bulletin and IMF meetings round out a slate that is anything but quiet.
On the gauge: EUR/USD is bearish clear, D1 and H4 down with H1 mixed, roughly even room to the levels either side. Sterling leans bullish on an H1 uptick while D1 and H4 sit mixed, price hugging the level below. USD/JPY leans bullish with D1 up, sitting right at its nearest level below. Gold leans bearish, H4 and H1 soft, pinned at the level above. Oil leans bullish, H4 and H1 up, near the top of its recent range. Bitcoin leans bearish with D1 down; Ethereum is bearish clear across D1 and H4. Watch how the dollar complex reacts once CPI prints.
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