D1 ▲ H4 — H1 ▼ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 44 · EMA20 > EMA50Support 1.15380 (13.9 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 1.16826 (0.5 ATR) · was supportprice is 0.5 ATR below the ceiling (resistance) and 13.9 ATR above the floor (support) — high in the range
NEUTRAL — M15 RSI 41.6; M5 RSI 47.2. Market closed — this is Friday's closing read. structure intact. Support 1.15380 (13.9 ATR) · was resistance · resistance 1.16826 (0.5 ATR) · was support. price is 0.5 ATR below the ceiling (resistance) and 13.9 ATR above the floor (support) — high in the range
D1 trend — D1 structure says up, EMA neutral/disagree
H4 trend — H4 structure says mixed
H1 trend — H1 structure says down, EMA neutral/disagree
Momentum (M15/M5) — M15 RSI 41.6; M5 RSI 47.2
RSI divergence — no divergence against the trend
Move size (30 min) — last 30 min range = 0.44 ATR(H1) — a quiet, normal move
Structure — price holds the last swing low/high — thesis intact
Location / room — price is 0.5 ATR below the ceiling (resistance) and 13.9 ATR above the floor (support) — high in the range
GBP/USDBEARISH · CLEAR
Closed · Friday's close
D1 ▲ H4 ▲ H1 ▼ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 48 · EMA20 > EMA50Support 1.36222 (0.9 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 1.36376 (0.0 ATR) · was supportprice is squeezed between two close levels — a breakout is on the table, direction unknown
BEARISH CLEAR — M15 RSI 37.9; M5 RSI 27.4. Market closed — this is Friday's closing read. structure intact. Support 1.36222 (0.9 ATR) · was resistance · resistance 1.36376 (0.0 ATR) · was support. price is squeezed between two close levels — a breakout is on the table, direction unknown
D1 trend — D1 structure says up, EMA neutral/disagree
H4 trend — H4 structure says up, EMA same
H1 trend — H1 structure says down, EMA neutral/disagree
Momentum (M15/M5) — M15 RSI 37.9; M5 RSI 27.4
RSI divergence — no divergence against the trend
Move size (30 min) — last 30 min range = 0.61 ATR(H1) — active
Structure — price holds the last swing low/high — thesis intact
Location / room — price is squeezed between two close levels — a breakout is on the table, direction unknown
USD/JPYBEARISH · CLEAR
Closed · Friday's close
D1 — H4 — H1 ▼ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 50 · EMA20 > EMA50Support 158.86457 (0.1 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 159.04271 (1.0 ATR) · was supportsimilar room above (1.0 ATR) and below (0.1 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
BEARISH CLEAR — M15 RSI 39.1; M5 RSI 24.2. Market closed — this is Friday's closing read. structure intact. Support 158.86457 (0.1 ATR) · was resistance · resistance 159.04271 (1.0 ATR) · was support. similar room above (1.0 ATR) and below (0.1 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
D1 trend — D1 structure says mixed
H4 trend — H4 structure says mixed
H1 trend — H1 structure says down, EMA neutral/disagree
Momentum (M15/M5) — M15 RSI 39.1; M5 RSI 24.2
RSI divergence — no divergence against the trend
Move size (30 min) — last 30 min range = 0.83 ATR(H1) — active
Structure — price holds the last swing low/high — thesis intact
Location / room — similar room above (1.0 ATR) and below (0.1 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
GoldBEARISH · LEANING
Closed · Friday's close
D1 ▲ H4 ▲ H1 ▲ M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 63 · EMA20 > EMA50Support 4,526.92 (4.1 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance none aboveno tested ceiling above, and the floor is far below — price is stretched
BEARISH LEANING — M15 RSI 42.9; M5 RSI 24.6. Market closed — this is Friday's closing read. structure intact. Support 4526.92 (4.1 ATR) · was resistance · resistance no level above. no tested ceiling above, and the floor is far below — price is stretched
D1 trend — D1 structure says up, EMA neutral/disagree
H4 trend — H4 structure says up, EMA same
H1 trend — H1 structure says up, EMA same
Momentum (M15/M5) — M15 RSI 42.9; M5 RSI 24.6
RSI divergence — price and RSI diverged against the trend — a caution
Move size (30 min) — last 30 min range = 0.49 ATR(H1) — a quiet, normal move
Structure — price holds the last swing low/high — thesis intact
Location / room — no tested ceiling above, and the floor is far below — price is stretched
OilNEUTRAL
Closed · Friday's close
D1 ▲ H4 — H1 — M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 52 · EMA20 > EMA50Support 84.50 (2.9 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 86.90 (0.9 ATR) · was supportsimilar room above (0.9 ATR) and below (2.9 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
NEUTRAL — M15 RSI 45.0; M5 RSI 35.1. Market closed — this is Friday's closing read. structure mixed. Support 84.50 (2.9 ATR) · was resistance · resistance 86.90 (0.9 ATR) · was support. similar room above (0.9 ATR) and below (2.9 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
D1 trend — D1 structure says up, EMA neutral/disagree
H4 trend — H4 structure says mixed
H1 trend — H1 structure says mixed
Momentum (M15/M5) — M15 RSI 45.0; M5 RSI 35.1
RSI divergence — no divergence against the trend
Move size (30 min) — last 30 min range = 0.35 ATR(H1) — a quiet, normal move
Structure — no clear H1 structure right now
Location / room — similar room above (0.9 ATR) and below (2.9 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
BitcoinNEUTRAL
Live read · M15/M5 + H1
D1 ▲ H4 — H1 — M15 ▼ M5 ▼RSI 50 · EMA20 > EMA50 · last 30m: 0.7 ATRSupport 64,429.0 (42.8 ATR) · was resistance · Resistance 77,476.4 (1.4 ATR) · was supportprice is 1.4 ATR below the ceiling (resistance) and 42.8 ATR above the floor (support) — high in the range
NEUTRAL — M15 RSI 46.2; M5 RSI 42.0. 30-min move active (0.72 ATR), structure mixed. Support 64429.0 (42.8 ATR) · was resistance · resistance 77476.4 (1.4 ATR) · was support. price is 1.4 ATR below the ceiling (resistance) and 42.8 ATR above the floor (support) — high in the range
D1 trend — D1 structure says up, EMA neutral/disagree
H4 trend — H4 structure says mixed
H1 trend — H1 structure says mixed
Momentum (M15/M5) — M15 RSI 46.2; M5 RSI 42.0
RSI divergence — no divergence against the trend
Move size (30 min) — last 30 min range = 0.72 ATR(H1) — active
Structure — no clear H1 structure right now
Location / room — price is 1.4 ATR below the ceiling (resistance) and 42.8 ATR above the floor (support) — high in the range
BEARISH LEANING — M15 RSI 44.7; M5 RSI 42.7. 30-min move active (0.67 ATR), structure intact. Support 2403.3 (0.8 ATR) · resistance 2441.8 (1.5 ATR). similar room above (1.5 ATR) and below (0.8 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
D1 trend — D1 structure says up, EMA neutral/disagree
H4 trend — H4 structure says mixed
H1 trend — H1 structure says down, EMA neutral/disagree
Momentum (M15/M5) — M15 RSI 44.7; M5 RSI 42.7
RSI divergence — no divergence against the trend
Move size (30 min) — last 30 min range = 0.67 ATR(H1) — active
Structure — price holds the last swing low/high — thesis intact
Location / room — similar room above (1.5 ATR) and below (0.8 ATR) — the chart is evenly balanced
Market Desk
Market Pulse
Macro/FX & Commodities
In the last day, trade tensions escalated as Canada announced “dollar-for-dollar” retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods Saturday, following a breakdown in talks—a development that puts cross-border trade and the loonie back in focus. Separately, the Treasury’s plan to double bond buybacks has been linked to gold and bitcoin strength, while the U.S. dollar softened; traders are now weighing the macro implications of a more active Treasury footprint. The broader backdrop remains data-dependent, with tariff refunds, Supreme Court rulings, and shifting central-bank leadership adding to uncertainty across currencies and rates. For commodities, precious metals are reacting to the same macro crosscurrents, though no single directional signal has emerged. The key watch is whether trade frictions feed into policy expectations for the Fed and other major central banks.
Crypto & Digital Assets
In the last three hours, an EU transaction ban targeting 14 crypto platforms takes effect August 23, a significant compliance milestone for exchanges serving European users. Meanwhile, the Treasury reportedly set a deadline restricting offshore stablecoins’ access to U.S. customers, and the SEC is seeking comments on a proposed exemption for crypto offerings—steps that could shape market structure. The recent “squeeze-led” rally in bitcoin and ether, alongside tokenized Treasury growth and bank-backed stablecoin pilots, underscores an evolving institutional pipeline, though regulatory and policy clarity remains incomplete.
2026-08-22 · Updated 2026-08-23 03:45 UTC
Canada announces retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods after trade talks break down
A trade deal falls apart, financial institutions’ prediction markets rules and the U.S. travel boycott: Must-read business and investing stories - The Globe and Mail
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